Jeff Probst wrote: ↑Wed Mar 27, 2019 8:28:54 am
So let's play a fun game. In good game strategy you should anticipate your opponents best move. What do you think each of the 4 other tribemates best moves to get to the end and win is? Who would you vote out 5th and 4th if you were them?
This is a cute game. See my issue with the game is that I feel as if Only Me, Robb, or Gabby can win so I would have to think really hard about that.
I want Davie in the end, and I believe Davie's best path to win is also with me. The current path he seems to want to take is with me and Gabby. I think that is a surefire way to lose. Gabby says she doesn't want him in the end, Robb says he doesn't want him in the end. I believe his best chance at winning is with Me and Donathan. Donathan has done equally as little as Davie, so I believe he could present his case by saying he was loyal all game while me and Donathan really only were loyal to each other. There is a huge chance he gets at the very least Pat's vote. Since Davie has done so little, I believe his best bet is a very bitter jury. He should want Robb gone first, then Gabby.
Donathan to me has the same path as Davie. The only difference is that I don't see anyone on the jury who is in his corner, like a Pat. It is possible he could have Gabby after I shamelessly betray her, because Donathan's few people he talks to is Gabby. He could claim to be always informed about the season and argue that he played an under the radar game.
Unfortunately for Davie and Don, I really don't see them winning in any final 3 unless
1) Their speech is incredible
2) Their opponent's speech is laughable
3) The jury is really bitter
4) At least one juror has been campaigning in their favor on jury for a while to at least open them up to the idea of a Davie/Don win.
Gabby is a more interesting story. I believe her best chance is to go to the final four with me and then cut me fourth. I believe she should go with a fire making challenge, even against me if necessary. I believe she can usually beat me in a challenge and I assume fire is some sort of puzzle. I think she could beat me in that if her and Davie vote together, then she is in final 3 with davie and don easy dubski.
Robb's best bet is to comp out. His best case scenario is to get Gabby out fifth because she is the best of us four at comps. Then to get me out fourth because I am a strategic threat and (possibly?) a jury threat. If he doesn't win immunity at 5 he should tell Gabby about our final three deal to expose me. Her, Davie, and Robb should all vote me out. Then he goes to f4 with still a solid chance to win immunity.
